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Arvind Kejriwal and AAP (Page 76)

charminggenie IF-Stunnerz
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 1:17am | IP Logged
@Krystal : Personally , earlier I never gave BJP much chance in Bihar  considering all the good work of Nitish. But since the his party broke all the contact with NDA, I sense BJP gaining far more clout in the state compared to him. RJD has too many incumbencies , especially after Lalu's arrest and the party's main leaders ditching his board for Modi bandwagon. On ground RJD and Congress just don't have winnable candidates.  He along with Paswan will probably cut into Nitish's vote share. Not a direct threat to Modi in anyway.
Imams'usually don't have real  sway as far  as votes are concerned, few pockets might vote according to them , but then those were never the areas BJP could win.  

20+ is a good number for BJP to have in Bihar. The only one to be really affected by all this would be JD(U).


krystal_watz IF-Sizzlerz
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 10:08am | IP Logged
But Genie, what to make of the upper castes' apparent anger at the BJP-Paswan alliance? And the fact that certain areas (except for Muslim-majority areas or those having considerable Muslim presence) are seeing strong and popular candidates being put up by both JDU and RJD? E.g., Vijay Mandal.

Edited by krystal_watz - 23 April 2014 at 10:06am
charminggenie IF-Stunnerz
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 10:13am | IP Logged
Originally posted by krystal_watz

But Genie, what to make of the upper castes' apparent anger at the BJP-Paswan alliance? And the fact that certain areas (except for Muslim-majority areas or those having considerable Muslim presence) are seeing strong and popular candidates being put up by both JDU and RJD? E.g., Vijay Mandal.

Paswan is a non-entity , I doubt he would get any seats and his overall influence in Bihar is dwindling. JD(U) and RJD by fighting equally popular leaders would cut each other's vote. Upper caste that could have swung towards JD(U) , if it was part of NDA , would inspite of all the anger would still stick with BJP. It's the minority vote which is going to be split between 3 parties - Cong, JD(U) and RJD.
krystal_watz IF-Sizzlerz
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 10:25am | IP Logged
Where would that leave the lower castes? Would they go the way of Muslims and vote between Congress/RJD or JDU? If Paswan cannot draw the Dalit vote, then I fear for the saffron brigade.
charminggenie IF-Stunnerz
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 10:32am | IP Logged
I feel it would be interesting to see where they go but my gut feeling and the crowd that Modi pulled in Bihar seem to suggest  that BJP would make a positive dent . The split in vote share would favour them , they might not win major seats but can pull few upsets .
krystal_watz IF-Sizzlerz
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 10:41am | IP Logged
^^Hope so. Modi's projection techniques are chiefly aimed at blurring caste divides, at least in UP. Hope it extends to Bihar to some extent.
heeheehee Groupbie
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BirdieNumNum Goldie
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Posted: 23 April 2014 at 12:22pm | IP Logged

i think this entire election has become modi-centric. People are either for him or against him.The issues on all sides,  the talk about corruption/ development/ growth models etc have just become side-shows to that. Even the hate speeches and the bad-mouthing are just circus. One just hopes that the anti-modi votes get split...

i feel this principle would also apply to bihar. People's like/ dislike of modi should be the most dominant factor, and should overpower caste politics... The only danger is if the muslims actually vote tactically in every constituency as they have been threatening to do, so voting for one anti-modi party in one constituency and for another anti-modi party in another. It's hard to see how they'd be so organized however...

coming to kejriwal, i think this guy is a disaster. He's never been able to hold on to any job- he ran away from Tata, ran away from Tax dept, ran away from Delhi CM. He's a guy who can only criticize, only destroy... if you go by his rationale for fighting against modi, he says he wants to destroy bjp... and his vishwas buddy from amethi wants to knock off congress from the map. So what do we replace those parties with? His rag-tag band of clueless anarchists? For better or worse, these are two parties that have the sort of organizational structure one needs for nation-wide governance. We just need to clean them up, not necessarily destroy them... It's also dangerous destroying institutions without offering a vision of what these would be replaced by. His claim of simply cleaning up the system does not fly, given that he's been intellectually dishonest on so many front. Basically, i just hope he's taken to the cleaners after this election. I'd rather have a Kiran Bedi run the anti-corruption party, not this bozo.

and what's this nonsense with Shazia Illmi? She's saying muslims are not too communal, her absurd rationale being they vote for "others", not their own ie. kejriwal? Ok. But since when has kejriwal become muslims ke "apne"? LOLAlso, is there another "com" that is as together when it comes to voting? Told you, some of these people belong in a circus. LOL


Edited by BirdieNumNum - 23 April 2014 at 12:35pm

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