Arvind Kejriwal and AAP - Page 58

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Posted: 10 years ago
BJP faces a resurgent RJD in
Seemanchal, Bhagalpur
Priyarag Verma IBNLive.com | 21-Apr-2014
15:31 PM
As the electoral battle in Bihar shifts to
Seemanchal and eastern region of the state,
the polarisation for and against Bharatiya
Janata Party becomes more acute as there is
the high concentration of Muslim voters in
the seven seats for which voting will take
place on April 24 in the sixth phase of Lok
Sabha elections. The seats voting on April 24
are Banka, Bhagalpur, Katihar, Kishanganj,
Purnia, Araria and Supaul.
In fact it is the charisma of RJD chief Lalu
Prasad that is the biggest stumbling block for
the BJP in the seven seats going to vote. The
extremely aggressive campaign by Lalu in
Seemanchal and Bhagalpur has seen a
consolidation of votes in favour of his party
and alliance partners who hope to win most
of the seven seats voting in the third phase
of elections in Bihar.
Muslims are almost 70 per cent of the
electorate in Kishanganj where Janata Dal
United candidate Akhtarul Iman declared that
he won't contest so that the minority vote
doesn't split and goes en bloc to Congress's
Asrarul Haque. The move saw the BJP crying
foul as its candidate Dilip Kumar Jaiswal was
hoping to benefit from the division of
Muslim votes. But with Iman pulling out,
Jaiswal faces an almost insurmountable task
against the sitting Congress MP.
Sensing that a poor show will derail its
plan of winning over 25 seats from the
state, the state BJP leadership has gone
into an overdrive.
While Kishanganj may seem to be an
exception with Muslims in majority, the
community is in a position to play the
kingmaker in Purnia, Araria and Katihar too.
Katihar has almost 43 per cent Muslims while
in Araria it is over 41 per cent. Purnia with
almost 30 per cent, Bhagalpur 20 per cent and
Supaul, which has over 15 per cent Muslim
voters, too are giving nightmares to the BJP.
Banka has just 13 per cent Muslims and the
BJP is finding the going a little easy here.
The BJP had won Purnia, Katihar, Araria and
Bhagalpur in 2009 while Putul Kumari, the
Independent MP from Banka, joined the
party just a couple of months back although
her late husband Digvijay Singh had won the
seat on a JDU ticket. Supaul went to JDU
while Congress won in Kishanganj.
Even the overemphasis of the BJP on
backward castes seems to be following the
path of diminishing returns with its
traditional vote bank of forwards castes
feeling slighted. While they have not openly
come out against any of the party nominees,
the relatively lower turnout in the seven
seats - Buxar, Jehanabad, Arrah, Munger,
Nalanda, Patna Sahib and Pataliputra - which
voted on April 17 has sent the alarm bells
ringing in the party's state unit.
A couple of senior BJP leaders told IBNLive
on conditions of anonymity that they are
worried over the party's traditional
supporters not coming out to vote in large
numbers. One of them said that many BJP
voters seemed confident that since the party
is anyway winning the election, so they can
take it easy which may prove to be
detrimental when EVMs are opened and
results declared on May 16. He added that in
Bihar the fight was between the BJP-LJP-
RLSP combine and the RJD-Congress-NCP
alliance with the JDU relegated to the third
spot.
But in Seemanchal and Bhagalpur the going
is proving to be very tough for the party
which is aiming to sweep a majority of the 40
seats in Bihar in its bid to return to power at
the Centre after 10 years especially following
the apathy of forward castes.
Except Purnia where JDU's Santosh
Kushwaha is seen as the strongest candidate
to take on the BJP, in all the other seats it is
the RJD-Congress-NCP alliance which is
making it tough for the saffron brigade.
RJD's Mohammad Taslimuddin, a veteran of
many political battles and a man charged
with several serious criminal offences, is
facing BJP sitting MP Pradip Kumar Singh
and JDU's Vijay Mandal in Araria. BJP leaders
accuse JDU of deliberately putting up a
candidate who will take away the votes of
the OBCs, EBCs and Mahadalits to ensure
Singh's defeat.
The scenario is no different in Purnia where
JDU candidate Santosh Kushwaha takes on
yet another sitting MP Uday Singh of BJP and
Congress's Amarnath Tiwari. Here the charge
is against the Congress but the BJP, too, is
facing criticism of repeating a MP who is not
very popular due to his unapproachable
nature after the 2009 win. Incidentally Uday
Singh is the younger brother of Nand Kishore
Singh, the former JDU leader who joined the
BJP just a few weeks ago. NCP leader Tariq
Anwar is making it difficult for BJP's Nikhil
Chaudhary in Katihar. The other prominent
candidate is Ram Prakash Mahto of JDU.
While BJP's Shahnawaz Hussain has already
represented Bhagalpur, the famous silk town
of Bihar, this time is path is not easy as the
party is not united behind him. Although
Hussain is confident that BJP's tie up with
Ram Vilas Paswan's LJP and Upendra
Kushwaha's RLSP will bring in the votes that
will propel him to victory, his own party is
not united in Bhagalpur.
BJP MLA Ashwini Kumar Chaubey, the
candidate from Buxar, had been eyeing
Bhagalpur and his supporters have been
playing truant during the campaign. BJP's
rivals, too, have formidable candidates in the
fray. While RJD has put up Shailesh Kumar,
JDU's Abu Qaiser and BSP candidate
Naushaba Khanam are eyeing the minority,
EBCs and Mahadalit votes.
Even in Banka which does not have a large
Mulsim vote bank BJP's Putul Kumari faces a
strong candidate in Jai Prakash Narayan
Yadav of the RJD and Santosh Kumar of the
CPI, which is in alliance with the JDU.
Congress candidate Ranjeet Ranjan, the wife
of RJD candidate Rajesh Ranjan alias Pappu
Yadav, is the frontrunner. She faces BJP's
Kameshwar Chaupal and Dileshwar Kamat of
the JDU, both of whom are considered to be
weak.
Sensing that a poor show will derail its plan
of winning over 25 seats from the state, the
state BJP leadership has gone into an
overdrive. BJP leaders are trying to ensure
that its voters come out in large numbers on
April 24.
Posted: 10 years ago

Originally posted by: ScorpionGunner

That awkward moment when Arvind Kejiriwal realizes that the meaning of "ARAVIND" is Lotus !😆


Abki baar Arvind Sarkar ! 😳

Lotus is BJP symbol but sarkar would be Modi's and apparently not to be synonymous with BJP sarkar otherwise why would Rajnath have to retract his image on FB where it was written Abki baar BJP sarkar with Abki baar Modi sarkar?🤔
Posted: 10 years ago

Originally posted by: Proud-India



So shut mouth for ever speaking negative words for NaMo - Next PM of India 😊

Are you an astrologer? 😕 Some astrologers in Varanasi have said that the date chosen by Modi to file his nominations is inauspicious and would bring a lot of hurdles in his path.
What does your jyotish gyaan have to say about such a bhavishyavani?
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Posted: 10 years ago

Originally posted by: zorrro

Lotus is BJP symbol but sarkar would be Modi's and apparently not to be synonymous with BJP sarkar otherwise why would Rajnath have to retract his image on FB where it was written Abki baar BJP sarkar with Abki baar Modi sarkar?🤔



That's exactly we want. We want only NaMo, no joshi, no Lal, No Swaraj etc. Only Modi loyalist should include in the Cabinet. Amit Shah as MoS of PMO no one will dare to stare. Love the way how shrewdly NaMo has formed his team with loyal and talented people. They are no more interested in Ram temple and Hindutva agenda. Expecting More Governance with Less Government from NDA.

Love the fact that BJP has been Modi-fied. For us Modi means business. Modi is hard taskmaster, strict disciplinarian, realist. He has the sheer strength of character and courage. 
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Posted: 10 years ago
@Krystal : Personally , earlier I never gave BJP much chance in Bihar  considering all the good work of Nitish. But since the his party broke all the contact with NDA, I sense BJP gaining far more clout in the state compared to him. RJD has too many incumbencies , especially after Lalu's arrest and the party's main leaders ditching his board for Modi bandwagon. On ground RJD and Congress just don't have winnable candidates.  He along with Paswan will probably cut into Nitish's vote share. Not a direct threat to Modi in anyway.
Imams'usually don't have real  sway as far  as votes are concerned, few pockets might vote according to them , but then those were never the areas BJP could win.  

20+ is a good number for BJP to have in Bihar. The only one to be really affected by all this would be JD(U).


Posted: 10 years ago
But Genie, what to make of the upper castes' apparent anger at the BJP-Paswan alliance? And the fact that certain areas (except for Muslim-majority areas or those having considerable Muslim presence) are seeing strong and popular candidates being put up by both JDU and RJD? E.g., Vijay Mandal.Edited by krystal_watz - 10 years ago
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Posted: 10 years ago

Originally posted by: krystal_watz

But Genie, what to make of the upper castes' apparent anger at the BJP-Paswan alliance? And the fact that certain areas (except for Muslim-majority areas or those having considerable Muslim presence) are seeing strong and popular candidates being put up by both JDU and RJD? E.g., Vijay Mandal.


Paswan is a non-entity , I doubt he would get any seats and his overall influence in Bihar is dwindling. JD(U) and RJD by fighting equally popular leaders would cut each other's vote. Upper caste that could have swung towards JD(U) , if it was part of NDA , would inspite of all the anger would still stick with BJP. It's the minority vote which is going to be split between 3 parties - Cong, JD(U) and RJD.
Posted: 10 years ago
Where would that leave the lower castes? Would they go the way of Muslims and vote between Congress/RJD or JDU? If Paswan cannot draw the Dalit vote, then I fear for the saffron brigade.
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Posted: 10 years ago
I feel it would be interesting to see where they go but my gut feeling and the crowd that Modi pulled in Bihar seem to suggest  that BJP would make a positive dent . The split in vote share would favour them , they might not win major seats but can pull few upsets .
Posted: 10 years ago
^^Hope so. Modi's projection techniques are chiefly aimed at blurring caste divides, at least in UP. Hope it extends to Bihar to some extent.