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Note: The following post is a hypothesis on voting behaviors and on the psychology of groupthink and herd behavior. It is not founded in any factual statistics or studies. However, someday I hope to come with a mathematical derivative function and prediction model for desi reality shows.
Yana's elimination may be shocking and unexpected, but to be honest it is not that surprising. Right from the start of the show people had a bias against her for being an item girl and her dressing. Topics like Yana Gupta sucks showed a clear inclination of some people to dismiss her even before giving a chance.
Some celebrities come in as favorites and don't even need to dance well to chug ahead. Their fandom literally guarantees them a final slot, if not the trophy itself all gift wrapped and pretty. Its like running a race, starting an inch from the finish line. Some celebrities come in to an atmosphere of agnosticism. They are neither loved or hated. They are the lucky ones who will be praised when they get it right and critiqued when they do something wrong. No one is trying yank them down or push them through. However, there are celebrities like Yana who come in at a clear disadvantage. People have made up their minds against them. Doing well, showing improvement or putting an effort wont cut it out. They literally have to pull their teeth and perform miracles. Not only are they running a race from well behind the start line, but theirs is the only track with all the hurdles.
Another point to note that this show is about team work. Choreographer and celebrity are not meant to be two separate entities. On this show they are one duo, a team, each tied, committed and dependent on the other. Once you single out that you care for only one either the celebrity or the choreographer – then in essence you have broken a team – broken teams cannot win. This forum has several ardent Salman fans who are very dedicated to him. However, I do not think any single one of them viewed Salman and Yana as one cohesive team, as a duo who should be seen and perceived as one for the competition. Many clearly state that they do not care for Yana at all. When the most ardent fans are willing to view a team as separate entities, it is not inconceivable that the average and lesser fans could be effected by this schism to the point of apathy towards voting. People fail to realize when you embrace both individuals on the duo, you have twice the incentive to vote. Sushant & Shampa have the upper hand as they are embraced by fans as a duo. Most successful teams in celebrity dance shows have been ones that have been beloved as a team, not as individuals.
Finally, I think that one ardent fan can prove more
disastrous than hundred detractors. Last
night I presented a fractional hypothesis that psychologically sympathy votes
do not exist as the net value of the fraction of voters/non voters = 0. Now I
am thinking that the value of that fraction might be less than zero. Real
sympathy votes don't really seem to come injuries but more on perceptions of
fandom and judgment rigidity. Unless severely atrocious, outsiders or those judged
harshly get a huge net sum of bulk pity/sympathy votes. Ardent fans create
noise – an illusion that a celebrity is enormously popular when the reality is
that it's the same few speaking time and again. The risk of this noise is that
average and lesser fans, well meaning bystanders assume that the person will
get plenty of votes and either don't bother or vote for others. Most past
winners in such shows tend to have the tempered fan following, not a polarized
fan following. Also take the curious case of Bristol Palin, an underdog and
shabby dancer who kept miraculously getting saved in DWTS, but then when the
media was full abuzz with the potential of her winning – she came last amidst
the finalist. Where did all the Kyle Massey fans come from? Ardent fans also
multiply detractors. An illustration is KSG, who has a number of fans but an even
higher amount of fervent detractors and people who like to make fun of him. The
simple fact is that there is utility in detracting him because or mocking him
because you incite a reaction, if there is no reaction then there is no utility
in an action – its as good as talking to dead air.
Bottom line - When calculated on paper, the sum result is not always as shocking as it seems.
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16th May 09 Elimination *Spoiler*
Author: BB8Rocks Replies: 132 Views: 12666
|BB8Rocks||132||12666||20 May 2009 at 11:03am by Lavender21|
Who is to blame for HK's elimination?
Author: sheenakohli91 Replies: 22 Views: 2135
|sheenakohli91||22||2135||17 May 2009 at 7:58pm by Dabulls23|
elimination on the 23rd?
Author: Samiyah258 Replies: 9 Views: 983
|Samiyah258||9||983||17 May 2009 at 10:04am by saher_90|
hk's elimination nd karan...
Author: ridzi830 Replies: 18 Views: 1779
|ridzi830||18||1779||17 May 2009 at 12:02am by manzkaur|
Author: sweet_ka09 Replies: 14 Views: 1820
|sweet_ka09||14||1820||16 May 2009 at 2:45am by *Shruti*|
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